Wednesday, May 8, 2019
Another study questions polygenic scores
Variable prediction accuracy of polygenic scores within an ancestry group
The Depression Gene that Wouldn't die
Sunday, May 5, 2019
Hoping for a House of Cards
Wednesday, May 1, 2019
Is This a Successful Study for Bipolar Genetics? That's how they are billing it.
"Eight of the 19 variants that were genome-wide significant (P < 5 × 10−8) in the discovery GWAS were not genome-wide significant in the combined analysis, consistent with small effect sizes and limited power but also with genetic heterogeneity."Is that really what it's consistent with? If you have variants that were found to be significant in previous studies and you include the data from those studies in your current study, even if the effect size was small (and, the power now increased), you should expect most of them to retain significance, even if they weren't significant in the new data set independently. The fact that half of them have lost significance is a good indication that most or all of them were false positives to begin with. Moreover, once again, why not do an independent GWAS (I'm assuming they did not) of the new data and compare it to the old data?
Now let's look at the very next sentence:
Sunday, April 28, 2019
More pop/strat discussion related to polygenic scores
Tuesday, March 5, 2019
Alzheimer's "Genes". Another Faux Replication
Friday, February 1, 2019
Genetics and the Need for Certainty: Looking at the World Through a Genetic Lens
Wednesday, January 23, 2019
The UK BioBank: The Beast of Pop/Strat
They looked at geographic structure and found that the UK Biobank is subject to a lot of stratification in that regard. They looked at BMI (body mass index), household income, and educational attainment and found all of them to be subject to geographic population stratification, even with principle component analysis. First they looked at a smaller subset of genetic data from a previous study (ALSPAC)
...we anticipate that the educational attainment of people who migrate for economic reasons differs from people who do not. Educational attainment is therefore aligned to subtle genetic differences even in this apparently geographically and ethnically homogenous population and this is co-incident with axes of ancestry.They move on to the beast, the UK Biobank:
Monday, January 14, 2019
Britain's Private Schools Makes a Point About Population Stratification
What particularly defines British private education is its extreme social exclusivity. Only about 6% of the UK’s school population attend such schools, and the families accessing private education are highly concentrated among the affluent.So we have a closed off group that has better access to higher educational opportunities, and of course there is a big payoff for them as we can see here:
Wednesday, January 2, 2019
Copy of my Review of Robert Plomin's "Blueprint"
I'm told that my review of Robert Plomin's "Blueprint" in Free Associations is sometimes difficult to download on tablets and phone, so I will add a copy of it here:
Biogenetic Overreach by Steve Pittelli
Blueprint: How DNA Makes Us What We Are (MIT Press, 2018) is the latest book by genetics researcher and author, Robert Plomin. It begins with discussions about twin and adoption studies, an area where Dr. Plomin has extensive experience as a researcher. This serves as a springboard for Plomin to discuss DNA research, particularly “polygenic scores,” for which he possesses an almost evangelical zeal. Mixing this with his own research anecdotes and theories about a self-described “DNA Revolution,” Plomin’s meandering narrative is, at times, difficult to follow and has a utopian feel.
As Plomin acknowledges, much of the early DNA research related to psychological traits (and most traits in general) failed to find specific genes related to the trait in question. When such genes were found, the experiments were never replicated, creating a “replication crisis” in the field. In Dr. Plomin’s view, this crisis was solved by the larger datasets now available and the polygenic score, which “predicts” the likelihood of particular traits by tallying up the number of genetic variants a person has that have been shown to correspond in some way to particular traits. I would suggest that this is a significant lowering of the bar for replication and does not eliminate the crisis.
Genes for Ice Cream Flavor preference...
Can't go there? Well, then you have to believe that there are genetic variants for preferring chocolate or strawberry ice cream over vanilla. Lot's of them, in fact. Or you have to explain why this study is not valid and other GWAS studies are. Let's go through this important study:
Sunday, December 23, 2018
IQ and longevity claim takes a hit
Arden et al. The association between intelligence and lifespan is mostly genetic Int J EpidemiologyThe claim was not only that IQ was associated with a longer lifespan, but that "genes for IQ" (a fantasy of the IQ people) were directly correlated with longevity. Great read. It's all starting to collapse.
Blueprint?
(If you are on a tablet or phone, it's easier to read the PDF format)
Wednesday, December 12, 2018
Yet More Evidence that PRS is Largely a Measure of Population Stratification
We find that the signals of selection using UKB effect-size estimates for height are strongly attenuated or absent. We also provide evidence that previous analyses were confounded by population stratification Therefore, the conclusion of strong polygenic adaptation now lacks support.If you aren't able to control for population stratification for something as straight-forward and quantifiable as height, then certainly you won't be able to do better with "Educational Attainment" or really any more complex psychiatric trait or mental construct. The null here, is that polygenic scores largely measure population stratification and I would be interested in what could be demonstrated that would lead one to reject the null. Moreover, the failure of PRS also brings into question the polygenic (and, presumably omnigenic) models for phenotypes.
Tuesday, December 4, 2018
Stratification and PRS Difficulties
Our results emphasize that we have limited understanding of the interplay between our current PS and genetic population structure even within one of the most thoroughly studied populations in human genetics. Therefore, we recommend refraining from using the current PS to argue for significant polygenic basis for geographic phenotype differences until we understand better the source and extent of the geographic bias in the current PS.Much of the work on this study involved height, so drawing conclusions about more complex mental traits would be even more confounding. (Would be useful to have a better understanding of the differences in population between Eastern and Western Finland).
Thursday, November 29, 2018
McCRISPR and the Collective Sanctimony of the Scientists Who Made it Happen
“I’m happy he came, but I was really horrified and stunned when he described the process he used,” says Jennifer Doudna, a biochemist at the University of California, Berkeley, and a pioneer of the CRISPR–Cas-9 gene-editing technique that He used. “It was so inappropriate on so many levels.”So, it was "the process he used" rather than what he did. If only he had used a more appropriate process. Let's look at another quote:
Tuesday, November 6, 2018
Longevity "genetics" appears to be strongly inflated due to assortative mating
A GWAS in such a scenario, then, would pick up a lot of extraneous, noncausal genetic associations that were really just related to commonalities from assortative mating, leading one to believe that these genes had some specific role for longevity and possibly wasting a researcher's time.
I would be interested in seeing a similar study on educational attainment, as I think it might very well show the same thing. I have, in fact, postulated just this in previous posts on here.
Saturday, November 3, 2018
A Recent Critique of PRS
"In summary, our investigation clears up some misconceptions on PRS and demonstrates that PRS is not as useful as its name suggests, and as powerful as the genetics community expects neither for predicting polygenic traits. We hope this research will serve as a wake up call to the genetics community in appreciating more about the challenges in studying complex polygenic traits. As such, more resources and efforts can be devoted in performing better experiments and developing better statistical methods."
Wednesday, October 31, 2018
Learning about the elitist opinions of a study's authors through their dubious study
Sunday, October 14, 2018
"Minimal Phenotyping" to crank up your GWAS hits creates more problems
So, adding to the fact that there have been no independently replicated, significant genetic variants found for depression, to date, even with minimal phenotyping, we also cannot confirm that these genes have any relation to depression by assessing CNS enrichment.
Thursday, October 11, 2018
New Depression Study Finding 102 Variants. What is Replication?
Tuesday, September 18, 2018
The Good News Bible of Educational Attainment
Let's start with the opening sentence, which I think sets the scene for all of the rest that follows:
Ever increasing sample sizes and methodological advances in polygenic methods have made it possible to powerfully predict complex traits such as cognitive abilities without knowing anything about the causal chain between genes and behaviour.The question, of course, here, is what you are actually predicting?
Wednesday, September 5, 2018
More Risk-Taking genetics
Genetics of self-reported risk-taking behaviour, trans-ethnic consistency and relevance to brain gene expression (Strawbridge, et al.).
Wednesday, August 1, 2018
It's Already Eugenics.
Up until recently, these studies repeatedly failed to replicate at all, and the mantra from scientists was that they just needed bigger databases. I had hoped this would not be the case, but I can see now that as the databases are getting into the millions, it appears that they are starting to get some associations that are relatively consistent (at least within specific groups). (Update: Please see Addendum 2 below. it is still unclear to me to what extent there is replication).
What these associations mean, of course, is open for debate and speculation. I am of the view that they don't really have anything to do with the actual traits and are probably some form of population stratification, but even if that is the case, it does allow for a bit of statistical predictive capability. In my opinion, this minor predictive success will soon become asymptotic, but that alone is enough to fuel years of these studies, striving for better and better predictability. Nevertheless, this puts me in a rather difficult position.
Tuesday, July 24, 2018
Progressives should not "Embrace the Genetics of Education." Nor should anyone else.
Why Progressives Should Embrace the Genetics of Education
Thursday, July 5, 2018
Are Polygenic Risk Scores Just a Measure of Population Stratification?
Wednesday, July 4, 2018
Genes for loneliness, health club attendance, bar hopping and churchgoing, all in one study!
Elucidating the genetic basis of social interaction and isolation (Day et al.)
Wednesday, June 20, 2018
More Evidence That No One Knows What Is Going On.
"Theory Suggests That All Genes Affect Every Complex Trait," shows how little has been gleaned from all of these GWAS studies. They simply have no idea what or how genes affect complex traits. They have no way of explaining high heritability through this mechanism, either. Here's an excerpt from the title:
The more closely geneticists look at complex traits and diseases, the harder it gets to find active genes that don’t influence them.Another way of saying this is that they are all false positives. The most ridiculous part of this is that they advocate for even larger GWAS studies to figure this all out. C'mon. Admit it's a failure. Move on...
Monday, June 18, 2018
The Bell Tolls for Thee, GWAS
Some excerpts:
GWAS are fast expanding to encompass hundreds of thousands, even millions, of patients (see 'The genome-wide tide'). But biologists are likely to find that larger studies turn up more and more genetic variants — or 'hits' — that have minuscule influences on disease, says Jonathan Pritchard, a geneticist at Stanford University in California. It seems likely, he argues, that common illnesses could be linked by GWAS to hundreds of thousands of DNA variants: potentially, to every single DNA region that happens to be active in a tissue involved in a disease.Can you almost hear them saying "false positives"?
Here's another interesting excerpt:
Tuesday, June 12, 2018
Are you Hangry?...
So here is a real study that was done to determine whether there is a gene for getting "hangry." What is hangry, you might ask? Well, of course it is the propensity to get angry when you get hungry. Get it? Hangry... Here is a link to it so that you don't think I'm making it up
In any case, I'll take it on...
Thursday, June 7, 2018
Another GWAS meta-analysis that suggests replications when the opposite is the case
This critique is for the following study:
Study of 300,486 individuals identifies 148 independent genetic loci influencing general cognitive function. Gail Davies, et al.
This study is a meta-analysis of several studies I have already critiqued, here, here and here, as well as some new cohorts. If I understand correctly, the new ones are the CHARGE and COGENT cohorts, but in any case, it does not appear that any of the new datasets were ever studied independently related to cognitive ability and were simply added to the N of the meta-analyis. I have a problem with this, which hopefully will become obvious as you read this critique.Wednesday, June 6, 2018
GWAS Catalog For Life!
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6:51 PM (19 hours ago)
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I was wondering what your policy is, regarding GWAS associations that are not subsequently replicated or are in some way refuted? Do you ever remove them from the catalog or otherwise make a note of this?
Thanks,
Steve Pittelli
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9:29 AM (5 hours ago)
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Scientific Curator
Open Targets and GWAS Catalog
Monday, May 14, 2018
Hard to argue with this...
-Stuart Ritchie, with a very thoughtful retort to my contention that GWAS studies are likely all false positives (shortly after calling me a "crank"). At least he actually responded. Notice, by the way, that he said, "replicable" and not replicated. Cute, that.
Addendum:
"Finally, it is also possible that, although specific loci reached genome-wide significance in particular studies, there are false positives, highlighting the importance of well-powered replication studies."
From a study published two weeks later and co-authored by Stuart Ritchie.
Tuesday, May 8, 2018
A Quick Review of a Dyslexia GWAS study claiming two significant loci
Genome Wide Association Scan identifies new variants associated with a cognitive predictor of dyslexia
The study is on a much smaller scale, with only a few thousand cases, so one might expect fewer false positives. In this case, likely we have two.
Sunday, April 29, 2018
Another Genetics and Intelligence GWAS/Meta-Analysis
This critique is for the following study:
Thursday, April 26, 2018
Another Depression GWA/Meta-Analysis claims 44 risk variants for Major Depressive Disorder
Genome-wide association analyses identify 44 risk variants and refine the genetic architecture of major depressive disorder
After only a couple of weeks and, now, my 6th critique of a genetic study, I once again have the same issue before I even get started on the study: There is no randomized control.
Monday, April 23, 2018
The Pittelli Test for Non-Randomness in a GWAS
Here is my proposal:
Sunday, April 22, 2018
Educational Attainment genes or a whole lot of nothing
Genome-wide association study identifies 74 loci associated with educational attainment
Each of the studies I've looked at so far involving GWAS have a fundamental problem right up front and this one is not an exception.
Saturday, April 21, 2018
Depression GWAS Study, 2018
Genome-wide association study of depression phenotypes in UK Biobank identifies variants in excitatory synaptic pathway (Howard, et al.)
"Depression is a polygenic trait that causes extensive periods of disability. Previous genetic studies have identified common risk variants which have progressively increased in number with increasing sample sizes of the respective studies."